According to reports, Lu Ming, a professor at Shanghai Jiaotong University and director of the China Development Research Center, pointed out that a large number of applications of robots will replace humans in local industries, companies, and jobs. However, at the macro level, precisely when technological progress is fast, it is also the time for labor productivity to increase rapidly and create a lot of employment. China has not yet entered the stage of full application of robots. “The application of cutting-edge technologies will further enhance the competitiveness of a country. However, having the ability to manufacture the most advanced robots in the world does not mean that China will now completely use robots to replace labor. “Lu Ming said, “This is related to the stage of national economic development. The more early the economic development, the less urgent the application of advanced science and technology, and the labor-intensive comparative advantage is precisely an important path for a country to achieve economic growth. With economic development, rising labor costs, labor shortages, and increased labor productivity, the need for cutting-edge technology will exist.†Lu Ming believes that impacting the high-tech frontiers of international technology is indeed an important force to lead the future of China’s international competitiveness. However, at the same time, China’s urbanization rate is just over 50%, and there are still a large number of low-skilled labor forces that need to create jobs. . "China has not entered the stage of fully implementing machine replacement workers." In economics, an ideal economic model is productivity increase, wage increase, and consumption increase. However, robots do not consume, and workers are also consumers. When machines replace large quantities of people, whether they will reduce the income level of workers will lead to consumers lacking corresponding income and purchasing power, and they will not be able to stimulate the demand for sustained economic growth. ? Lu Ming said that this worry is superfluous. "If this happens, the wages of workers will come down. It will be uneconomical to replace people with machines. Enterprises will re-employ the labor force. Strictly speaking, under the market economy system, machine replacement is precisely the wage of workers. The results will only be generated during the upswing.†Lu Ming believes that it is not ruled out that some local companies or individuals are unable to compete due to lack of technology and lack of competitiveness in the market, resulting in some people being affected, but only partially, from the whole society. Look, this kind of situation will not appear in theory, history has never appeared. "It must be emphasized that employees need to work hard to improve their skills to adapt to the trend of the times." Low-end laborers in the service industry are difficult to replace by machines Last year, data released by the Shanghai Municipal Bureau of Statistics showed that by the end of 2015, the number of permanent residents of the city was 9,865,500, a decrease of 1.5% year-on-year, and the first negative growth in 15 years. Will the arrival of robots accelerate the negative growth of this migrant population? Lu Ming pointed out that the resident population in Shanghai is declining and this will not be a long-term trend. “In any big city, the more industrial upgrading, the more it will bring about the demand for low-skilled labor. Because in the life production, this is complementary to the high-skilled labor force. The more highly-skilled labor force in a city, the greater the demand for services. The higher is, for example, the nanny and carer in life, and these positions are difficult to replace by robots under the current technology of mankind." Lu Ming believes that Shanghai has already experienced a shortage of low-skilled labor in the service industry, and even more, it cannot exclude low-skilled laborers. “Do not expect to replace people in the manufacturing machinery. The low-skilled labor force will not be. On the contrary, the more you increase labor productivity in the manufacturing industry and increase the income of the workers, the lower the number of jobs in the manufacturing industry and the service industry. The large demand for skilled laborers. The study shows that the more Chinese big cities, the lower the unemployment rate of the low-end laborers."
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Will the use of robots on a large scale reduce the wages of workers?