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Forecast: Several major crops worth looking forward to in 2018
[ China Agricultural Machinery Industry News ] According to the Voice of China Rural "Three Rural China", it is now the slack season. For many farmers, especially the big farmers, it is time to consider what to plant next year. So, what kind of good things will be done next year?
The voice of the Chinese village gives you a simple prediction of the major varieties that are worth looking forward to in 2018.
Wheat
On October 27, the National Development and Reform Commission announced that in 2018, wheat will continue to implement low purchase prices, and the low purchase price of national wheat (third-class) is 1.15 yuan per catty.
Liu Dong analysis believes that:
Liu Dong: This is the National Development and Reform Commission's 12-year low wheat low purchase price, and the low purchase price per 50 kg is 3 yuan lower than 2017. Under the background of the reform of agricultural product price formation mechanism, the low purchase price of wheat is a policy orientation that is more market-oriented and more clearly reflects the relationship between supply and demand.
In the past 12 years, China's wheat (third-class) low purchase price has risen or remained unchanged from 2006 to 2017. Therefore, the psychological impact of this downgrade on some farmers is relatively large. Some farmers said they would adjust the structure and stop growing wheat. Liu Dong believes that the performance of the 2018 wheat market is worth looking forward to.
Liu Dong: Just because the price is lower than 2017, many growers may not choose to grow wheat, so the price of wheat will naturally go up. Therefore, in 2018, wheat planting is still the focus of choice, and growers can make certain considerations.
2. Soy
At present, China's soybean imports are highly dependent. Sun Wei said: China is a big soybean importer in the world. According to statistics, in 2017-2018, China's soybean imports are expected to reach 89 million tons, which is likely to increase for 14 consecutive years.
Affected by the decline in comparative benefits and import shocks, the production of domestic soybeans has declined in recent years, and the gap between production and demand has expanded. In this context, the state has increased soybean subsidies. Taking Heilongjiang as an example, farmers who have replanted soybeans can subsidize 150 yuan per mu; ordinary soybean planting subsidies have increased from 60 yuan/mu last year to 130.87 yuan/mu, and the subsidy amount has doubled.
Sun Wei: China is the country of origin of soybeans. It has a long history of planting and consumption. The Ministry of Agriculture has introduced many specific measures to focus on the structural reform of the supply side of agriculture and the main line of work to improve quality and efficiency, and to increase income and maintain income. Actively develop soybean production and improve the quality and competitiveness of soybean production.
Therefore, Sun Wei believes that the golden period of soybean planting may have arrived, and the market for soybeans in 2018 is worth looking forward to.
3. Miscellaneous grains
The main grains are sorghum, millet, buckwheat, oats, barley, mung beans, cowpeas, black beans, etc., which can be grown in most parts of China.
Last year, the State issued the "Guidelines for the National Cereals Production in 2016" and other documents, the country has been divided into five districts to guide the development of the miscellaneous grain industry. They are:
In the northeast grain-growing area, it is important to encourage the cultivation of cowpeas, mung beans, etc., and appropriately expand barley, hazelnut, millet and sorghum.
In the North China Multi-grain Area, it is important to encourage the cultivation of millet, mung bean, buckwheat, etc., such as short growth period, drought tolerance, and tolerance to infertility.
In the northwestern grain-growing areas, it is important to encourage the cultivation of hazelnuts, buckwheat, and millet.
The Qinghai-Tibet Grain and Grain Area encourages the cultivation of green barley and guarantees the supply of rations in Tibetan areas.
In the southwestern grain-growing areas, it is important to encourage the cultivation of varieties such as bitter, cowpea and broad beans.
For the market of 2018 miscellaneous grains, Sun Wei believes that:
Sun Wei: Because there are many types of miscellaneous grains, the state has formulated different plans for the cultivation of miscellaneous grains according to the situation in different places. For example, Hebei mainly encourages the cultivation of buckwheat, sorghum and mung beans. At the same time, subsidies are also divided into special subsidies and direct subsidies. For example, some areas implemented subsidies for farmers who planted cereals last year. The standard is 69 yuan/mu, and they can enjoy subsidy policies for scale operations. Specific details, farmers friends can query according to their region. But in any case, I believe that the subsidies for miscellaneous grains will increase further in 2018, so the miscellaneous grains are worth looking forward to. (Original title: What kind of seedlings are in 2018? These three crops are worth looking forward to!)